Accelerated Finance Enhancement
ID: 8335458-10
Potential Value
$250,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
385
Client
Golden Operational Consortium
Account
Nexgen Security Corporation
City
Washington
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Mitchell Virginia
Pursuit Leader
Thomas Christine
Open Date
Apr 23, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Accelerated Finance Enhancement
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
52.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$27,077
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
52.9%
Model A: Planning
20.5%
Model B: Early Signal
7.6%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
20.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (20%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
7.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.