IdentifyOver 90 Days

Regional Business Intelligence Enhancement - Phase 3

ID: 1337387-40

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

565

Client & Account

Client

Synergy Research Consortium

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Ross Kenji

Pursuit Leader

Verma Dorothy

Open Date

Oct 25, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Regional Business Intelligence Enhancement - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

12.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.603
Work type
+0.497
US Federal business unit
-0.429

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

12.5%

Model A: Planning

48.2%

Model B: Early Signal

13.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

48.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.187
Lead sales credit %
-0.809
Deal age (days since open)
+0.786

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (48%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

13.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.642
Service sub-line track record
-0.490
Sub-sector track record
-0.354

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.