Identify60-90 Days

Critical Sustainability Transformation

ID: 9993467-40

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

523

Client & Account

Client

Pyro Civic Network

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Market Analysis (82042)

People & Dates

Partner

Joshi Carolyn

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Raymond

Open Date

Dec 6, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Sustainability Transformation

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

24.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$44,094

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.591
Service sub-line track record
-0.401
Opportunity business unit
+0.290

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

24.7%

Model A: Planning

71.4%

Model B: Early Signal

35.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

71.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.218
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.137
Service sub-line track record
-1.123

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (71%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

35.0%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.232
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.809
Market segment
-0.339

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (35%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.