Accelerated Program Management Phase II
ID: 2802588-20
Potential Value
$100,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
260
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
Organization & Workforce Transformation
Global Service Code
Environmental Compliance - Compliance (54455)
Partner
Takahashi Debra
Pursuit Leader
De Boer Pablo
Open Date
Aug 26, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Accelerated Program Management Phase II
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
28.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$16,494
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
28.4%
Model A: Planning
58.1%
Model B: Early Signal
8.6%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
58.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (58%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
8.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.