Identify60-90 Days

Adaptive Finance Deployment

ID: 9515943-10

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

110

Client & Account

Client

Beta Foundation

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Product & Service Innovation

Global Service Code

Identity Management (86343)

People & Dates

Partner

Takahashi Debra

Pursuit Leader

De Boer Pablo

Open Date

Jan 23, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Finance Deployment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

29.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$18,741

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.657
Service sub-line track record
-0.418
Account track record
-0.330

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

29.9%

Model A: Planning

25.0%

Model B: Early Signal

9.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

25.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.271
Deal age (days since open)
-0.869
Service sub-line track record
-0.826

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (25%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

9.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.799
Service sub-line track record
-0.601
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.450

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).