IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Core Supply Chain Proof of Concept - FY26

ID: 2520453-20

Potential Value

$1,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

96

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Agricultural Commission

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Fund Administration (63814)

People & Dates

Partner

Peterson André

Pursuit Leader

Gray Larry

Open Date

Feb 6, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

May 7, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Supply Chain Proof of Concept - FY26

Outcome Reason

<CONFIDENTIAL>

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

28.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$73,293

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.533
Service sub-line track record
-0.469
Account business unit
+0.367

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

28.1%

Model A: Planning

17.4%

Model B: Early Signal

7.1%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

17.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.350
Service sub-line track record
-1.135
Lead sales credit %
-0.638

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

7.1%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.944
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.770
Market segment
-0.526

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.