IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Core Service Delivery Review

ID: 5070654-10

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

96

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Agricultural Commission

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Fund Administration (63814)

People & Dates

Partner

Peterson André

Pursuit Leader

Gray Larry

Open Date

Feb 6, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

May 7, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Service Delivery Review

Outcome Reason

<CONFIDENTIAL>

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

46.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$63,884

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.526
Service sub-line track record
-0.460
Account business unit
+0.360

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

46.0%

Model A: Planning

13.9%

Model B: Early Signal

3.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

13.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.205
Service sub-line track record
-1.152
Lead sales credit %
-0.613

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.8%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.958
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.748
Deal size vs service line median
-0.596

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.