Identify30-60 Days

Scalable IT Infrastructure Scale-Up - Extension

ID: 2475601-30

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

245

Client & Account

Client

Bear Logistics

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Implementation

Global Service Code

Policy Development (47968)

People & Dates

Partner

Takahashi Julie

Pursuit Leader

Ross Edward

Open Date

Sep 10, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Scalable IT Infrastructure Scale-Up - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

50.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$48,807

Key Triage Drivers

Deal size
-0.797
Work type
+0.743
Service sub-line track record
-0.466

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

50.4%

Model A: Planning

19.4%

Model B: Early Signal

15.3%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

19.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.168
Deal age (days since open)
-1.022
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.887

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

15.3%

Key Drivers

Deal size
-0.941
Service sub-line track record
-0.770
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.622

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: deal size, service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).