IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Core Cloud Migration Program

ID: 4938789-50

Potential Value

$4,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

728

Client & Account

Client

Milestone Regional Commission

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Hall Feng

Pursuit Leader

Johansen Dieter

Open Date

May 15, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 20, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Cloud Migration Program

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

51.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$768,447

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.612
Opportunity business unit
+0.421
Deal size (log scale)
-0.370

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

51.9%

Model A: Planning

37.0%

Model B: Early Signal

4.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

37.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.437
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.094
Deal size vs service line median
-0.852

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (37%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.919
Deal size vs service line median
-0.732
Deal size
-0.529

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.