Transformative Cost Optimization Review
ID: 1418910-20
Potential Value
$125,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
266
Client
Nexgen Compliance Innovations
Account
Oak Agricultural Agency
City
Chicago
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Integrity & Compliance
Global Service Code
Trade Compliance (53074)
Partner
Gray Scott
Pursuit Leader
De Vries Brian
Open Date
Aug 20, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 26, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Transformative Cost Optimization Review
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
64.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$29,247
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
64.3%
Model A: Planning
36.4%
Model B: Early Signal
9.7%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
36.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (36%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).