ClosingPast Due

Unified Operations Diagnostic - Extension

ID: 3410369-30

Potential Value

$925,000

Deal Value

$925,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

492

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Agricultural Commission

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Fund Administration (63814)

People & Dates

Partner

Peterson André

Pursuit Leader

Gray Larry

Open Date

Jan 6, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Operations Diagnostic - Extension

Outcome Reason

<CONFIDENTIAL>

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

53.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$99,089

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.493
Service sub-line track record
-0.397
Account business unit
+0.363

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

53.1%

Model A: Planning

20.2%

Model B: Early Signal

6.5%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

20.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.776
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.176
Service sub-line track record
-0.999

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (20%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.5%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.051
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.725
Market segment
-0.539

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.