ClosingPast Due

Multi-Phase Regulatory Reporting Advisory - FY25

ID: 5835286-30

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

492

Client & Account

Client

Synergy Industries

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Integrated Risk Management

Global Service Code

Diversity Programs (52033)

People & Dates

Partner

Nakamura Joseph

Pursuit Leader

Butler Judy

Open Date

Jan 6, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Multi-Phase Regulatory Reporting Advisory - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

61.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.723
Service sub-line track record
-0.407
Deal size
+0.326

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

61.2%

Model A: Planning

33.8%

Model B: Early Signal

24.9%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

33.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.479
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.933
Lead sales credit %
-0.653

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (34%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

24.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.568
Sub-sector track record
-0.401
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.393

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (25%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, currency (usd vs other).