IdentifyPast Due

Scalable Risk Management Deployment (Amended)

ID: 2295100-50

Potential Value

$75,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

385

Client & Account

Client

Allied Regional Enterprises

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

ITTS (in SaT)

Competency

ITTS Advisory (in SaT)

Global Service Code

Vendor Management (75003)

People & Dates

Partner

Sanchez Philippe

Pursuit Leader

King Julie

Open Date

Apr 23, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Scalable Risk Management Deployment (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

73.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$32,886

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.640
Opportunity business unit
+0.625
Market segment
-0.604

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

73.9%

Model A: Planning

59.4%

Model B: Early Signal

51.8%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

59.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-2.123
Market segment
-1.196
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.881

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (59%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, market segment, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

51.8%

Key Drivers

Account business unit
-0.796
Market segment
-0.759
Sub-sector track record
+0.687

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (52%). Factors working in favor: sub-sector track record. Factors working against: account business unit, market segment.