IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Integrated ERP Implementation Deployment - FY25

ID: 1511987-30

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$5,000,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

454

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Agricultural Commission

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Fund Administration (63814)

People & Dates

Partner

Peterson André

Pursuit Leader

Barnes Diana

Open Date

Feb 13, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Integrated ERP Implementation Deployment - FY25

Outcome Reason

<CONFIDENTIAL>

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

56.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.526
Opportunity business unit
+0.475
Account business unit
+0.422

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

56.9%

Model A: Planning

24.0%

Model B: Early Signal

23.5%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

24.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.716
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.992
Lead sales credit %
-0.665

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (24%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

23.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.642
Service sub-line track record
-0.448
Market segment
-0.446

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (23%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.