Foundational Digital Transformation Phase I
ID: 3296928-50
Potential Value
$345,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
70%
Days in Pipeline
113
Client
Omega Financial Systems
Account
Nexgen Security Corporation
City
Washington
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Audit & Governance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Audit
Competency
Audit (CORE)
Global Service Code
Trade Compliance (46686)
Partner
James Sophia
Pursuit Leader
Jansen Karin
Open Date
Jan 20, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Foundational Digital Transformation Phase I
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
73.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$77,991
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
73.5%
Model A: Planning
30.7%
Model B: Early Signal
9.4%
Stated Probability
70%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
30.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment, account business unit.