Advanced Cybersecurity Strategy - FY25
ID: 3112018-30
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$2,500,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
567
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
People Experience
Global Service Code
Fund Administration (63814)
Partner
Peterson André
Pursuit Leader
Gray Larry
Open Date
Oct 23, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced Cybersecurity Strategy - FY25
Outcome Reason
<CONFIDENTIAL>
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
43.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$84,809
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
43.2%
Model A: Planning
39.3%
Model B: Early Signal
9.0%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
39.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (39%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.