Identify30-60 Days

Enhanced Legacy System Modernization - Phase 3

ID: 8142457-20

Potential Value

$10,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

181

Client & Account

Client

Orion Commission

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Scott

Pursuit Leader

Johansen George

Open Date

Nov 13, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enhanced Legacy System Modernization - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

41.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$801,532

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.685
Service sub-line track record
-0.404
Opportunity business unit
+0.277

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

41.8%

Model A: Planning

19.2%

Model B: Early Signal

2.3%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

19.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.224
Deal size vs service line median
-0.905
Deal age (days since open)
-0.712

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.3%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-0.852
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.851
Service sub-line track record
-0.586

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.