Automated Risk Management Automation - Phase 2
ID: 3499151-50
Potential Value
$145,000
Deal Value
$145,000
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
492
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
FAAS
Competency
FAAS - Financial applications, processes and analytics
Global Service Code
Talent Analytics - CorpFin (71068)
Partner
Nakamura Joseph
Pursuit Leader
Butler Judy
Open Date
Jan 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Automated Risk Management Automation - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
58.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$31,858
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
58.3%
Model A: Planning
37.7%
Model B: Early Signal
9.5%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
37.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (38%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).