QualifyPast Due

Agile Finance Phase I

ID: 5523525-50

Potential Value

$310,000

Deal Value

$310,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

96

Client & Account

Client

Bear Logistics

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Operations

Global Service Code

Product Strategy - Review (69596)

People & Dates

Partner

Cook Akira

Pursuit Leader

Henderson Feng

Open Date

Feb 6, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 13, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Finance Phase I

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

40.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$110,036

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.650
Service sub-line track record
-0.502
Deal size
-0.478

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

40.9%

Model A: Planning

86.7%

Model B: Early Signal

59.0%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

86.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.371
Deal age (days since open)
-0.743
Lead sales credit %
-0.727

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

59.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.821
Service sub-line track record
-0.713
Region track record
+0.491

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (59%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), region track record. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.