Accelerated Tax Reform Phase III
ID: 4590560-40
Potential Value
$10,600
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
100%
Days in Pipeline
107
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Audit & Governance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Audit
Competency
Audit (CORE)
Global Service Code
Compliance Monitoring (43381)
Partner
Larsen Sarah
Pursuit Leader
Campbell Catherine
Open Date
Jan 26, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Accelerated Tax Reform Phase III
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
83.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$7,816
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
83.0%
Model A: Planning
88.9%
Model B: Early Signal
79.7%
Stated Probability
100%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
88.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
79.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.