Agile Tax Reform Phase II - Phase 2
ID: 5178055-20
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
525
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Regulatory Compliance (61122)
Partner
Hall Feng
Pursuit Leader
Hansen David
Open Date
Dec 4, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Agile Tax Reform Phase II - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
44.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
44.7%
Model A: Planning
49.3%
Model B: Early Signal
13.1%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
49.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (49%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
13.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, currency (usd vs other).