Pursue60-90 Days

Comprehensive Market Entry Roadmap - Renewal

ID: 5417887-10

Potential Value

$65,414

Deal Value

$327,070

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

567

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Agricultural Commission

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Fund Administration (63814)

People & Dates

Partner

Peterson André

Pursuit Leader

Gray Larry

Open Date

Oct 23, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Comprehensive Market Entry Roadmap - Renewal

Outcome Reason

<CONFIDENTIAL>

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

43.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$15,746

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.577
Service sub-line track record
-0.550
US Federal business unit
-0.393

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

43.5%

Model A: Planning

55.4%

Model B: Early Signal

11.6%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

55.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.183
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.050
Service sub-line track record
-0.929

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (55%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

11.6%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.981
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.608
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.524

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).