IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Modernized Sustainability Optimization - FY26

ID: 7717160-40

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

162

Client & Account

Client

Bear Logistics

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Service Transformation

Global Service Code

Transformation Planning - Advisory (47191)

People & Dates

Partner

Collins Catherine

Pursuit Leader

Schneider Jean-Paul

Open Date

Dec 2, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Sustainability Optimization - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

29.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$65,601

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.640
Service sub-line track record
-0.452
Deal size
-0.266

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

29.6%

Model A: Planning

22.1%

Model B: Early Signal

4.3%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

22.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.175
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.713
Lead sales credit %
-0.672

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.755
Service sub-line track record
-0.662
Deal size vs service line median
-0.535

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.