Identify60-90 Days

Multi-Phase Legacy System Initiative

ID: 6767155-30

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

289

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Agricultural Commission

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Fund Administration (63814)

People & Dates

Partner

Peterson André

Pursuit Leader

Barnes Diana

Open Date

Jul 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Multi-Phase Legacy System Initiative

Outcome Reason

<CONFIDENTIAL>

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

50.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$58,547

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.576
Work type
+0.510
Account business unit
+0.435

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

50.3%

Model A: Planning

23.3%

Model B: Early Signal

12.1%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

23.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.321
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.020
Lead sales credit %
-0.729

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (23%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

12.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.803
Service sub-line track record
-0.595
Deal size
-0.572

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.