Critical Digital Transformation Implementation
ID: 9786769-20
Potential Value
$1,200,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
616
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
Organization & Workforce Transformation
Global Service Code
Fund Administration (63814)
Partner
Peterson André
Pursuit Leader
Gray Larry
Open Date
Sep 4, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Critical Digital Transformation Implementation
Outcome Reason
<CONFIDENTIAL>
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
45.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$230,179
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
45.9%
Model A: Planning
41.8%
Model B: Early Signal
7.6%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
41.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
7.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.