PursuePast Due

High-Impact Finance Proof of Concept (Revised)

ID: 2549609-50

Potential Value

$200,000

Deal Value

$200,000

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

117

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Agricultural Commission

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Fund Administration (63814)

People & Dates

Partner

Peterson André

Pursuit Leader

Barnes Diana

Open Date

Jan 16, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 13, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Finance Proof of Concept (Revised)

Outcome Reason

<CONFIDENTIAL>

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

65.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$31,866

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.584
Work type
+0.519
Account business unit
+0.420

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

65.5%

Model A: Planning

24.3%

Model B: Early Signal

7.5%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

24.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.090
Deal age (days since open)
-0.992
Service sub-line track record
-0.751

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (24%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

7.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.807
Service sub-line track record
-0.699
Deal size vs service line median
-0.624

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.