Accelerated Internal Audit Advisory - Pilot
ID: 7468644-20
Potential Value
$355,000
Deal Value
$355,000
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
492
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Digital and Technology Risk Management
Global Service Code
Credit Risk Advisory (57516)
Partner
Nakamura Joseph
Pursuit Leader
Butler Judy
Open Date
Jan 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Accelerated Internal Audit Advisory - Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
45.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$98,365
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
45.9%
Model A: Planning
60.4%
Model B: Early Signal
13.1%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
60.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (60%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
13.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), service sub-line track record.