QualifyPast Due

Extended Service Delivery Blueprint - Phase 3

ID: 5459369-30

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$1

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

106

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Banking Group

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

De Vries Laura

Pursuit Leader

Parker Gregory

Open Date

Jan 27, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 2, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Service Delivery Blueprint - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

59.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.835
Work type
+0.707
Service sub-line track record
-0.462

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

59.9%

Model A: Planning

23.7%

Model B: Early Signal

18.6%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

23.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.245
Deal age (days since open)
-0.817
Service sub-line track record
-0.813

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (24%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

18.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.773
Service sub-line track record
-0.538
Sub-sector track record
-0.414

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.