PursueOver 90 Days

Responsive Compliance Phase II - Pilot

ID: 8798541-20

Potential Value

$328,820

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

364

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Operational Foundation

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Compliance (54455)

People & Dates

Partner

Joshi Carolyn

Pursuit Leader

Nelson Lori

Open Date

May 14, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Compliance Phase II - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

79.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$243,901

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.803
Work type
+0.702
Recurring/additional sale
+0.364

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

79.0%

Model A: Planning

93.9%

Model B: Early Signal

81.9%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

93.9%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.575
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.480
Recurring/additional sale
+0.703

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

81.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.820
Service sub-line track record
-0.807
Recurring/additional sale
+0.613

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (82%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.