IdentifyOver 90 Days

Holistic Asset Management Enhancement (Revised)

ID: 6435427-10

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

343

Client & Account

Client

Frontier Consortium

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Finance Transformation, Strategy & Vision

Global Service Code

Policy Development (30982)

People & Dates

Partner

Schneider Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Moore Frances

Open Date

Jun 4, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Asset Management Enhancement (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

39.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.595
Service sub-line track record
-0.495
US Federal business unit
-0.347

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

39.9%

Model A: Planning

27.0%

Model B: Early Signal

15.3%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

27.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.436
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.101
Deal age (days since open)
-0.702

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

15.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.614
Service sub-line track record
-0.559
Sub-sector track record
-0.399

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.