PursuePast Due

Intelligent Market Entry Implementation (Amended)

ID: 6687196-40

Potential Value

$750,000

Deal Value

$750,000

Stated Probability

65%

Days in Pipeline

1190

Client & Account

Client

Granite Banking Advisors

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Turner Shirley

Pursuit Leader

Gray Larry

Open Date

Feb 8, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 23, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Intelligent Market Entry Implementation (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

39.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$138,109

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.587
Service sub-line track record
-0.554
Opportunity business unit
+0.290

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

39.1%

Model A: Planning

47.1%

Model B: Early Signal

10.0%

Stated Probability

65%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

47.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.489
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.954
Lead sales credit %
-0.783

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (47%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

10.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.778
Service sub-line track record
-0.598
Deal size
-0.423

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.