Adaptive Program Management Automation - Phase 3
ID: 8208307-50
Potential Value
$9,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
190
Client
Granite Banking Advisors
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Jimenez Magnus
Pursuit Leader
Ward Andrea
Open Date
Nov 4, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Oct 13, 2028
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Program Management Automation - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
61.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$2,603,513
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
61.7%
Model A: Planning
46.9%
Model B: Early Signal
56.8%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
46.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (47%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
56.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (57%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.