Comprehensive Change Management Advisory (Amended)
ID: 9684376-40
Potential Value
$192,534
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
75%
Days in Pipeline
686
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
BTS
Competency
BTS - Private Tax
Global Service Code
Fund Administration - Advisory (32210)
Partner
Bernard Samuel
Pursuit Leader
Moore Lori
Open Date
Jun 26, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 31, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Comprehensive Change Management Advisory (Amended)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
85.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$152,898
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
85.2%
Model A: Planning
93.2%
Model B: Early Signal
81.6%
Stated Probability
75%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
93.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
81.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (82%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, deal size.