Regional Revenue Assurance Program
ID: 9483318-50
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$5,333,333
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
204
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Integrated Risk Management
Global Service Code
Diversity Programs (52033)
Partner
Schneider Michelle
Pursuit Leader
Carter Emma
Open Date
Oct 21, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 29, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Regional Revenue Assurance Program
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
44.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$119,618
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
44.3%
Model A: Planning
27.0%
Model B: Early Signal
4.7%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
27.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.