Intelligent Risk Management Analysis (Amended)
ID: 5455707-10
Potential Value
$1,178,135
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
85%
Days in Pipeline
518
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Collins Catherine
Pursuit Leader
Martin Angela
Open Date
Dec 11, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
May 29, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Intelligent Risk Management Analysis (Amended)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
95.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$1,083,879
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
95.1%
Model A: Planning
96.8%
Model B: Early Signal
90.8%
Stated Probability
85%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
96.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (97%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
90.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.