Modernized Program Management Assessment - Renewal
ID: 2442898-50
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$2,000,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
288
Client
Granite Banking Advisors
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Takahashi Ravi
Pursuit Leader
Ward Andrea
Open Date
Jul 29, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 13, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Modernized Program Management Assessment - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
25.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$109,827
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
25.3%
Model A: Planning
43.4%
Model B: Early Signal
8.5%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
43.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (43%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
8.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.