QualifyOver 90 Days

Extended Data Analytics Framework - Extension

ID: 8215619-20

Potential Value

$833,333

Deal Value

$4,666,667

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

520

Client & Account

Client

Granite Banking Advisors

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - BTA

Global Service Code

Enterprise Architecture (66901)

People & Dates

Partner

Hall Justin

Pursuit Leader

Carter Emma

Open Date

Dec 9, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 21, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Data Analytics Framework - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

77.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$85,622

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
+0.617
Opportunity business unit
+0.602
Work type
+0.591

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

77.7%

Model A: Planning

13.2%

Model B: Early Signal

3.0%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

13.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.539
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.343
Deal size vs service line median
-0.882

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.923
Deal size vs service line median
-0.713
Market segment
-0.524

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, market segment.