PursueOver 90 Days

Predictive Operations Proof of Concept

ID: 4145727-50

Potential Value

$356,874

Deal Value

$356,875

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

456

Client & Account

Client

Benchmark Government Network

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Service Design (61923)

People & Dates

Partner

Weber Yuki

Pursuit Leader

Takahashi Samuel

Open Date

Feb 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Operations Proof of Concept

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

97.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$337,472

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.739
Non-recurring work
+0.656
Recurring/additional sale
+0.578

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

97.7%

Model A: Planning

96.8%

Model B: Early Signal

94.2%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.705
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.694
Lead sales credit %
-0.818

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (97%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

94.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.163
Recurring/additional sale
+0.524
Market segment
-0.500

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: market segment.