Qualify30-60 Days

Strategic Procurement Strategy - Renewal

ID: 9719987-10

Potential Value

$2,000,000

Deal Value

$1,837,838

Stated Probability

85%

Days in Pipeline

568

Client & Account

Client

Central Civic Associates

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Product & Service Innovation

Global Service Code

Identity Management (86343)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Fritz

Pursuit Leader

Schneider Jean-Paul

Open Date

Oct 22, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Strategic Procurement Strategy - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

39.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$739,106

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.704
Service sub-line track record
-0.380
Renewal pursuit
+0.324

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

39.2%

Model A: Planning

94.4%

Model B: Early Signal

76.4%

Stated Probability

85%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

94.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.317
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.094
Deal age (days since open)
+0.576

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

76.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.072
Renewal pursuit
+0.602
Service sub-line track record
-0.572

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (76%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.