IdentifyOver 90 Days

Holistic Compliance Phase III

ID: 7690122-30

Potential Value

$6,000,000

Deal Value

$7,500,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

701

Client & Account

Client

Central Civic Associates

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Service Transformation

Global Service Code

Transformation Planning - Advisory (47191)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Fritz

Pursuit Leader

Schneider Jean-Paul

Open Date

Jun 11, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 29, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Compliance Phase III

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

29.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,404,517

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.656
Service sub-line track record
-0.425
Expansion pursuit
-0.291

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

29.4%

Model A: Planning

79.5%

Model B: Early Signal

41.9%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

79.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.329
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.288
Lead sales credit %
-0.742

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

41.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.049
Service sub-line track record
-0.534
Lead sales credit %
-0.410

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.