Qualify30-60 Days

Cross-Functional Supply Chain Assessment - Pilot

ID: 2759220-40

Potential Value

$15,000,000

Deal Value

$13,783,784

Stated Probability

85%

Days in Pipeline

568

Client & Account

Client

Central Civic Associates

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Service Transformation

Global Service Code

Transformation Planning - Advisory (47191)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Fritz

Pursuit Leader

Schneider Jean-Paul

Open Date

Oct 22, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Cross-Functional Supply Chain Assessment - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

39.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$5,212,030

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.698
Service sub-line track record
-0.361
Renewal pursuit
+0.264

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

39.5%

Model A: Planning

87.9%

Model B: Early Signal

61.7%

Stated Probability

85%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

87.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.450
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.140
Deal age (days since open)
+0.566

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

61.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.057
Renewal pursuit
+0.625
Service sub-line track record
-0.547

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (62%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.