IdentifyOver 90 Days

High-Impact Operations Phase II

ID: 6890889-20

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

204

Client & Account

Client

Granite Banking Advisors

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Takahashi Ravi

Pursuit Leader

Ward Andrea

Open Date

Oct 21, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 19, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Operations Phase II

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

27.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$35,438

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.690
Work type
+0.562
US Federal business unit
-0.298

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

27.9%

Model A: Planning

12.7%

Model B: Early Signal

3.9%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

12.7%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.472
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.165
Deal age (days since open)
-0.854

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.855
Service sub-line track record
-0.611
Deal size vs service line median
-0.546

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.