IdentifyOver 90 Days

Core Digital Transformation Analysis - Phase 2

ID: 8238754-40

Potential Value

$2,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

190

Client & Account

Client

Golden Logistics

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Reddy Feng

Pursuit Leader

Ward Andrea

Open Date

Nov 4, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 11, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Digital Transformation Analysis - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

45.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$790,887

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.638
Service sub-line track record
-0.531
Deal size (log scale)
-0.391

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

45.2%

Model A: Planning

70.0%

Model B: Early Signal

76.8%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

70.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.718
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.343
Deal age (days since open)
-0.751

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (70%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

76.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.178
Renewal pursuit
+0.602
Service sub-line track record
-0.543

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (77%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.