Transformative Finance Assessment - FY25
ID: 1350074-40
Potential Value
$1,558,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
70%
Days in Pipeline
384
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Third Party Risk Management
Global Service Code
Cost Reduction (99284)
Partner
Cook Akira
Pursuit Leader
Henderson Feng
Open Date
Apr 24, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Transformative Finance Assessment - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
59.6%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$855,405
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
59.6%
Model A: Planning
92.1%
Model B: Early Signal
44.9%
Stated Probability
70%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
92.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
44.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (45%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.