Dynamic Risk Management Strategy (Amended)
ID: 7336434-40
Potential Value
$800,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
105
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Dispute Resolution (96693)
Partner
Li Ruth
Pursuit Leader
Medina Olivier
Open Date
Jan 28, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 20, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Dynamic Risk Management Strategy (Amended)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
57.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$72,342
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
57.2%
Model A: Planning
15.8%
Model B: Early Signal
6.4%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
15.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open), brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
6.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record, field of play track record.