Automated Change Management Consolidation
ID: 5205685-50
Potential Value
$150,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
99
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Discovery & Analytics
Global Service Code
Benchmarking Services - Transformation (55783)
Partner
Martin Heather
Pursuit Leader
Li Amit
Open Date
Feb 3, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Automated Change Management Consolidation
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
56.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$26,503
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
56.4%
Model A: Planning
31.4%
Model B: Early Signal
32.0%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
31.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
32.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working in favor: region track record. Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).