Adaptive Program Management Review - Phase 2
ID: 6376487-10
Potential Value
$25,376,084
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
90%
Days in Pipeline
148
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Audit & Governance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Audit
Competency
Audit (CORE)
Global Service Code
Trade Compliance (46686)
Partner
Phillips Laura
Pursuit Leader
Smith Sharon
Open Date
Dec 16, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Dec 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Program Management Review - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
97.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$24,241,102
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
97.1%
Model A: Planning
98.4%
Model B: Early Signal
82.8%
Stated Probability
90%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
98.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (98%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
82.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (83%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, market segment.