Proactive Procurement Advisory - Phase 3
ID: 4803812-50
Potential Value
$570,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
20%
Days in Pipeline
208
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Supply Chain & Operations
Opportunity Sub-SL
Supply Chain & Operations´
Competency
Procurement Transformation
Global Service Code
Sales Enablement (62325)
Partner
Singh Susan
Pursuit Leader
Turner Richard
Open Date
Oct 17, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 27, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Proactive Procurement Advisory - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
44.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$106,334
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
44.3%
Model A: Planning
42.1%
Model B: Early Signal
38.1%
Stated Probability
20%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
42.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), deal size.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
38.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (38%). Factors working in favor: region track record. Factors working against: deal size, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).