Closing30-60 Days

End-to-End Talent Strategy Assessment (Amended)

ID: 8314744-20

Potential Value

$375,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

365

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Agricultural Council

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Risk Mitigation (65671)

People & Dates

Partner

Medina Charlotte

Pursuit Leader

Lewis Rebecca

Open Date

May 13, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 13, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

End-to-End Talent Strategy Assessment (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

94.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$348,274

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.802
Non-recurring work
+0.626
Service sub-line track record
+0.359

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

94.2%

Model A: Planning

98.6%

Model B: Early Signal

84.6%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.576
Lead sales credit %
-0.852
Market segment
-0.584

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

84.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.968
Market segment
-0.663
Account business unit
-0.477

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (85%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.