Predictive Talent Strategy Scale-Up
ID: 9450478-30
Potential Value
$20,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
40%
Days in Pipeline
394
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
Indirect
Competency
Indirect Tax - Core
Global Service Code
Public Sector Advisory (76082)
Partner
Brown Megan
Pursuit Leader
Moreau Melissa
Open Date
Apr 14, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Talent Strategy Scale-Up
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
94.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$13,503
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
94.9%
Model A: Planning
71.2%
Model B: Early Signal
77.5%
Stated Probability
40%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
71.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (71%). Factors working in favor: field of play track record. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
77.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (78%). Factors working in favor: region track record. Factors working against: currency (usd vs other), service sub-line track record.